XCN Soars 116%… But Here’s Why It Might Crash!

by

Onyxcoin has delivered one of the strongest performances among small-cap tokens since the start of the year. XCN price surged more than 116%, lifting the token back toward the $0.0100 region after months of weakness. 🚀💸

This sharp recovery reflects renewed speculative interest and aggressive accumulation. However, rising profits among short-term holders now introduce fresh downside risk. 🧨

Onyxcoin Holders Gain Supply

On-chain HODL Waves data shows a significant shift in XCN ownership over the past two weeks. Addresses that acquired Onyxcoin between one and three months ago now control nearly 37% of the circulating supply. 🎉🧢

At the beginning of the month, this cohort held just 19%. Such a rapid increase highlights strong demand from newer participants. 🤯

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here. 📧

This wave of accumulation played a central role in reversing XCN’s earlier downtrend. Younger holders typically enter during momentum phases, amplifying price moves through concentrated buying. 📈

Their growing dominance has helped stabilize the XCN price above recent lows. However, heavy reliance on short-term capital can also increase volatility if sentiment shifts quickly. 🌀

Profits Move To Volatile Hands

Broader momentum indicators raise caution despite the strong rally. The MVRV Long/Short Difference remains deeply negative, sitting near -64.9%. This metric suggests short-term holders dominate the supply and are sitting on meaningful unrealized gains. 🚩

Historically, such conditions increase sensitivity to profit-taking behavior. The most profitable cohort includes addresses that accumulated XCN toward the end of 2025 and early 2026. These holders are now well in profit following the rapid rally. 💸

When short-term profitability spikes, selling pressure often rises as investors seek to lock in gains before momentum cools. This dynamic presents a key risk for XCN’s near-term price stability. 🧨

XCN Price Is Moving Sideways

XCN price trades near $0.0090 at the time of writing, holding just above the $0.0088 support level. The altcoin has hovered around this zone for several sessions, suggesting indecision among buyers and sellers. Holding this support remains critical for maintaining short-term bullish structure. 🤷‍♀️

Sustaining the rally may prove challenging if short-term holders begin exiting positions. Rising profits increase the incentive to sell quickly. A breakdown below $0.0088 would weaken confidence and could push XCN toward $0.0077. Losing that level would expose the token to deeper downside near $0.0065, erasing much of the recent recovery. 📉

A bullish alternative remains possible if selling pressure stays limited. Should short-term holders refrain from taking profits, XCN could regain momentum. A decisive move above $0.0095 would signal renewed strength. 🚀

Clearing that barrier could open the door toward $0.0108, placing the token back above the psychologically important $0.0100 level and invalidating the bearish thesis. 🧠

Read More

2026-01-14 13:39