Polymarket has taken a leap of legal bravado against Massachusetts officials, aiming to stop the state from putting the kibosh on its prediction markets. It’s the kind of confrontation that could only happen in a courtroom and a vaudeville stage at the same time, with more shouting and fewer candles on the cake.
Summary
- Polymarket sued Massachusetts officials after a court ruling against rival Kalshi.
- The platform says federal CFTC rules override state gambling laws.
- The case could shape how prediction markets operate across the U.S.
The move comes as U.S. regulators and courts step up scrutiny of platforms that allow users to trade on real-world events, especially in sports. Picture a chorus line of regulators, but instead of sequins, they’re wearing gag orders and legal briefs.
On Feb. 10, Polymarket filed a lawsuit in federal court against Massachusetts Attorney General Andrea Campbell and state gaming regulators. The company said the threat of enforcement is “immediate and concrete,” which in legalese translates to “grab the gavel, folks, this is not a drill.”
According to Polymarket, state intervention would disrupt its national operations, fragment its user base, and force it to choose between federal compliance and state restrictions. The company argues that its markets fall under federal oversight and should not be treated as local gambling products. It’s a classic case of big government vs. small, spicy bets with big egos.
Federal authority vs. state gambling laws
At the center of the case is a dispute over who has the right to regulate prediction markets. It’s like a family feud, but with derivatives and a lot more risk of legal fees.
Polymarket says its event contracts are governed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Under federal law, the CFTC oversees derivatives and futures markets, including certain types of prediction products. The company claims this authority overrides state-level gambling rules. Think global, act local-only louder and with more paperwork.
In its complaint, Polymarket pointed to comments made on Jan. 29 by CFTC Chairman Michael Selig, who said the agency would re-assess how it handles cases testing its jurisdiction. Shortly after, the CFTC filed an amicus brief in a related lawsuit involving Crypto.com. It’s like a chess match, but the pawns are jurisdictions and the king is “control.”
Massachusetts courts have taken a different view. Last week, a state judge refused to pause a ban on Kalshi’s sports contracts, ruling that the platform must follow state gaming laws. The judge said Congress did not intend federal regulation to replace traditional state powers over gambling. In other words, “Hey federal folks, stay in your lane-or at least jog on the sidewalk.”
Kalshi has appealed the decision but was denied a stay. The ruling requires the company to block Massachusetts users from sports markets within 30 days. A federal judge in Nevada also recently denied Coinbase’s request for protection from a similar enforcement action, adding to the legal pressure on prediction platforms.
Robinhood, which partners with Kalshi, is now seeking its own injunction in Massachusetts to avoid state licensing requirements. It’s the courtroom version of “everybody into the pool,” but with more paperwork and fewer cannonballs.
Growing pressure on prediction platforms
Polymarket’s lawsuit reflects wider tensions between fast-growing prediction markets and state regulators. It’s the Silicon Valley version of a standoff at the O.K. Corral, with more spreadsheets and fewer horses.
In a statement posted on social media, Polymarket chief legal officer Neal Kumar said the company is fighting “for the users.” He argued that state officials are racing to shut down innovation and ignoring federal law. And yes, he used capital letters for EMPHASIS, because what’s a courtroom without a little drama?
He added that Massachusetts and Nevada risk missing an opportunity to support new market models that blend finance, data, and public forecasting. State officials have so far declined to comment on the lawsuit.
The case arrives as prediction markets gain mainstream attention. Jump Trading recently made investments in Polymarket and Kalshi, two platforms that have garnered institutional support. According to recent funding rounds, Polymarket is valued at approximately $9 billion. Yes, nine billion-for predicting whether your coffee will be hot or your team win the game.
Supporters claim that by enabling users to trade on economic, sports, and election data, these markets enhance price discovery and public insight. Many contracts, according to critics, resemble unlicensed gambling and may put users at risk. It’s like arguing whether the punchline is legal, or just a punch in the wallet.
If Polymarket succeeds, it could limit the ability of states to regulate prediction markets and strengthen the CFTC’s role nationwide. A loss, however, may encourage more states to impose licensing rules or bans. Either way, the show goes on, and the gavel keeps tapping like a drum in a 1940s comedy.
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2026-02-10 07:40