TL;DR but make it spicy:
- XLM kissed goodbye to its 10-day SMA like an ex you’re trying to forget. Ouch.
- Analysts are throwing out numbers like $0.8 and $8.00—but only if XLM gets its act together. Big IF.
- The Bull-Bear Power indicator flipped negative faster than your mood on a Monday morning. Not great.
So, here’s the tea ☕: Stellar (XLM) decided to take a little tumble below its beloved 10-day simple moving average (SMA). That SMA was basically its security blanket during July’s rally—a time when XLM went from looking sad at $0.30 to flexing at over $0.50. But now? Oh darling, it’s trading at $0.43 after shedding nearly 6% in one day. The week hasn’t been kind either, with an 8% drop overall. Brutal.
“Stellar $XLM just lost the 10-day SMA as support: bullish above, bearish below!”
— Ali (@ali_charts) July 29, 2025
And guess what? It hasn’t even tried crawling back yet. Bold move, XLM. Bold *stupid* move.
History Repeats Itself—or Does It?
Some brainy analysts have dusted off old charts for comparison. Javon Marks pointed out that this whole situation looks eerily similar to XLM’s wild ride between 2015–2018. You know, the one where prices danced around in a wedge pattern before skyrocketing like they’d had too many espressos.
“Prices can be preparing here for another >80% upside to and above the $0.79783 level!”
Above that level and XLM could push another +900% to a more than $8.00 price point!
— JAVONMARKS (@JavonTM1) July 29, 2025
Okay, so maybe there’s hope? A 10x gain sounds sexy, right? But hold up—Peter Brandt chimed in with some harsh truths. He said XLM needs to stay above $0.22 and close decisively above $1, or else it’s stuck in no man’s land. Yikes.
Bears Are Winning Right Now 🐻
Oh, and let’s talk about the Bull-Bear Power (BBP) indicator. Spoiler alert: it’s not good news. The reading is currently -0.0182, which means sellers are running the show like they’re auditioning for a villain role in a Marvel movie. Remember those green bars from earlier in July? Yeah, they’re gone. Red bars are everywhere now, signaling that momentum has officially ghosted us.
What Happens Next?
Right now, XLM is chilling just under its short-term support. The $0.42–$0.45 zone is basically its last chance saloon. If buyers step up and push it above $0.45 with enough volume, we might see a comeback toward $0.50. But if not? Well, buckle up, because things could get messy.
Look, Stellar needs to stabilize pronto. Without reclaiming these key levels, it’s just floating aimlessly like a sock without its pair. Let’s see if it pulls a miracle—or just continues to disappoint. Either way, I’ll be here with popcorn. 🍿
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2025-07-29 10:59