Ethereum Rebounds? 1.2M ETH & $5B Lost!

Principal Observations

Why is Ethereum undergoing such a curious clutching of coins?

Because, as we see, long-standing holders, along with those perhaps anticipating the advent of ETFs, have embraced over a million and two hundred thousand ETH in this passing month, with a peculiar rush of nearly four hundred thousand on the 25th of September.

What does this abrupt reset of Open Interest herald for Ethereum’s fortunes?

Fortune favors the bold, it is often said. Thus, with a staggering $5 billion of leverage now swept away, one might envisage a stage set for ETH to dance a more measured and enduring recovery.

The market of Ethereum, ah, sends such mixed signals, much like a lover’s trysts-capricious yet utterly enthralling. Long-term holders, in all their steadfastness, {🤓} are amassing ETH at unprecedented rates while Open Interest, much akin to a fast-fading romance, plummets with billions in leverage disappearing in mere days.

Could this sudden bleaching of leverage’s heavy hand indeed foster more robust, tempered movements going forward? Could it be? 😏

Enter the Accumulators

Data, as ever-understudies to certainty, from CryptoQuant, proclaimed on the 18th of September that a stupendous inflow into accumulator addresses reached a record-breaking zenith-1.2 million ETH, a towering figure in the chronicles of network history.

Ethereum Image

As if in synchrony, a further four hundred thousand ETH joined the festivities on the 25th; these enigmatic wallets partake solely in acquisition, without the slightest hint of desire to divest. It is a mark of profound conviction, akin to the principles that guide our most illustrious long-term landholders or noble institutions.

Timing, that ever-present whisperer of fate, is telling; with fervor fuelling the ETH ETFs, one could postulate that these voluminous torrents might be sourced from those entities prepping for ongoing engagement rather than ephemeral caprice.

A Drastic Intervention on Open Interest

While accumulation holds sway, the derivatives bazaar suggests a contrasting tableau.

Open Interest Image

Following weeks of brazen stakes, Open Interest experienced a whiplash-inducing retrenchment akin to that of the early 2024 precipices. On the illustrious day of the 23rd of September, the house of Binance bore witness to over $3 billion in OI expunged, with another $1 billion dissipating on the morrow. Bybit and OKX, those venerable houses, also encountered notable losses-$1.2 billion and $580 million respectively. This adjustment followed a frenetic spree of leveraged wagers on ETH that had magnetized speculative dealings. 

Yet a spark of hope glimmers: with the brambles of excess leverage excised, there now appears to be ample space for the market to attain equilibrium, perhaps even setting the stage for a recovery of greater health and sustainability.

ETH’s Prospective Journey

With leverage now an echo of the past and long-term holders advancing, ETH finds itself perched upon a pivotal juncture. After plummeting with grace beneath $4,000, the price has traced its initial upward ascent in days, coyly lingering around $3,925 as this missive is penned.
ETH Price Chart

Technical auguries whisper of a cooling market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), ever the harbinger of sentiment, has descended to 33, whispering of oversold conditions. The MACD endures its melancholy in negative depths yet shows signs of flattening, suggesting a potential pivot in momentum.

Should a torrent of buying pressure unfurl, one might fathom ETH reclaiming its composure above the $4,000 watermark. Thus far, the tableau suggests a healthy reset, contingent, of course, on the concord of crucial indicators.

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2025-09-26 12:12