Bitcoin’s Rainbow Chart Predicts Wild Prices! Is $200K Around the Corner? 🦄💰

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  • Global monetary policies are inflating faster than a wizard’s hat in a stiff breeze, and this could make BTC suddenly look like the only lifeboat on a sinking fiat ship. 🚤
  • That $200k price target by 2025? Pfff. That might be the price of a loaf of bread by then. Or, you know, Bitcoin. Still—conservative, apparently!

Picture this: Monday, 07 July, and Bitcoin [BTC] boldly strides up to the $109.6k resistance zone like a hero facing down a dragon. And, as dragons do, it gets a polite but firm “NOPE” and hurries back home, tail slightly singed—a 1.4% dip in a mere 16 hours. The previous week, our brave crypto knight tried the same antic at $110k, only to be rebuffed again for a 2.77% haircut down to $107.4k. Short-term? It’s doing the economic equivalent of jogging in place and looking for snacks.

Bitcoin holding above $100k should have investors dancing naked under the nearest rainbow 🌈. And yet, like all wizards and city council members, they’re riddled with doubt. Miller Value Partners’ CIO recently mused on Bitcoin’s institutional allure, sighing that, for the TradFi crowd, it’s all about not accidentally blowing themselves up.

Inflationary global policies mean Bitcoin is, in the long run, probably going to keep appreciating—assuming people don’t all decide to start trading seashells instead. With April 2024’s halving in the rearview, this cycle is closer to the end than a Discworld wizard to lunchtime (but not quite there).

Which brings us to the question: How much further up can this rocket-powered cart wobble before the wheels fall off?

Bitcoin’s Rainbow Chart: Now With Extra Optimism (And Fewer Leprechauns)

Using the Halving Price Regression (HPR)—which, unlike your average hype machine, resists the urge to don tinfoil hats—AMBCrypto attempted to divine the next cycle’s peak. The HPR coolly ignores noise and just looks at price points on the last three halving days, perhaps the financial equivalent of ignoring the weather and packing an umbrella no matter what.

Right now, BTC is still in the “buy” zone, unless you’re the sort of pragmatic pessimist who still refuses to use email. Based on Math (and the kind of optimism found mostly in lottery ads), Q4 2025 could ring in a top of at least $157k—possibly even a very sparkly $217k. It’s anyone’s guess, really, but isn’t that half the fun?

Predicting the top is like herding cats with a foghorn. Meanwhile, the venerable Pi Cycle Top indicator—reliable, and only slightly mysterious—suggests the peak isn’t even close.

Here’s the wizardry: the 350-day SMA x2 (purple—because why settle for primary colors?) needs a dramatic crossover by the 111-day moving average (cyan, for the fashion-forward speculator). Purple’s at $172k, cyan’s at $97.7k. So, for the Pi Cycle Top fireworks to go off, 111-day MA needs to leap up to at least $172k, preferably with style and maybe a little jazz hands.

To nudge the 111-day average that high, Bitcoin’s price has to shoot up and hang there like a stubborn pigeon on a roof. If both the Rainbow and Pi do their thing again, we might be looking at Bitcoin hitting warp speed and blasting right past $200k. Whether that’s reason to celebrate or just buy more popcorn is, as always, entirely up to you. 🎢🪙

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2025-07-08 09:56