What to know:
- Polymarket has partnered with Nasdaq Private Market to introduce crypto-based prediction markets tied to milestones of privately held companies.
- The new contracts let retail traders bet on outcomes such as valuations, IPO timing and secondary share activity for unicorns that have historically been accessible only to institutional and accredited investors.
- Nasdaq Private Market will supply transaction and valuation data to resolve the yes-or-no contracts, which the companies say could also provide real-time price discovery signals for major startups.
Polymarket is allowing everyday investors to bet on how well privately held companies will perform, opening up a new area of financial opportunity.
A cryptocurrency platform now lets users make predictions on the future success of private companies. It’s partnering with Nasdaq Private Market to get reliable data that will determine the outcomes of these predictions.
These new markets allow people to make predictions about private companies, such as their potential value, when they might go public, and trading of existing shares. The companies involved highlight that almost 1,600 “unicorn” companies worldwide are now worth a combined total of over $5 trillion.
Traders won’t actually own shares of these companies, but they can still profit from how those companies perform, even though these investments were previously unavailable to most people.
Historically, investing in private companies was limited to venture capital firms, large institutions, and high-net-worth individuals. Despite the success of companies like OpenAI, SpaceX, and Stripe – which became more valuable than many publicly traded companies – most everyday investors couldn’t participate in their growth until after they went public.
Polymarket is launching a new feature that lets people trade predictions on events happening in private companies. It essentially makes these private developments accessible through tradable contracts.
Nasdaq Private Market will be the official source of information for these contracts. They specialize in tracking how private company shares are bought and sold, and they monitor transaction and valuation data. This data will be used to determine the final outcome – whether the contracts settle as a ‘yes’ or a ‘no’.
These companies also presented the product as a way for institutional investors to better determine fair prices. Private companies don’t have the same price transparency as publicly traded ones, so figuring out their value often happens gradually through investments or resales. This new approach could provide immediate insight into how traders see the future of leading startups.
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2026-05-19 18:08