Oh, the humanity! Johns Hopkins economist Steve Hanke drops the mic, declaring the United States is losing the Iran war faster than a Mel Brooks gag, is broke like a joke, and has handed Tehran more leverage than a Broadway producer! Meanwhile, Washington’s spinning numbers like a top-or is it a dreidel?
Bond Vigilantes Are Turning on Trump Like a Bad Comedy Script, Says Hanke
The one, the only Steve Hanke, professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University and the funniest man in Fortune magazine (okay, maybe the only one), graced The David Lin Report this week. He delivered a laugh-out-loud breakdown of why the U.S. is in the Iran conflict like a fish out of water-flopping, gasping, and generally making a mess of things. Spoiler alert: the balance sheet looks like a prop from Blazing Saddles.
The war, still raging like a bad case of indigestion, has effectively shut down the Strait of Hormuz to everyone but the Iranians. Throughput? Down 95%, says Hanke, who paints Iran not as a nation under siege but as the unexpected star of this geopolitical farce. Iran’s got a million troops and the chokepoint on which the global economy depends. It’s like they’re hosting a party, and the U.S. wasn’t invited!
“Iran’s winning this war,” Hanke quipped to Lin, “They’re in control of the Strait of Hormuz, and it looks like they’ll keep it. Trump’s in a corner tighter than a Yiddish mother’s hug. The Western economies? Oy vey, they’re suffering more than a bad matzo ball soup.”
Iran’s oil exports? Up! Their crude is sailing through the Strait like it’s on a luxury cruise, selling at prices higher than a New York deli sandwich. The Iranian rial? Up 6%! Inflation? Still at 67%, but hey, it’s down from 80%. Progress, right?
Physical oil markets in Asia are trading higher than a Broadway ticket, and Hanke says the paper markets will catch up-eventually. Meanwhile, the Philippines is in an energy emergency, New Zealand’s handing out cash like it’s Purim, and Taiwan’s sourcing helium from Russia. It’s a global game of musical chairs, and the U.S. is left standing.
Russia? They’re the real winners here, producing oil, fertilizer, and helium like it’s going out of style. Sanctions relief for market access? Now that’s a deal!
Hanke dismissed the Mossad’s decapitation strategy as a flop bigger than History of the World, Part 1. “This goes in the failure book,” he deadpanned. “Israel and the U.S.? Their strategy failed faster than a Brooks film at the box office.”
And don’t get him started on the U.S. being a net energy exporter. “Insulated from oil prices? That’s a joke bigger than Spaceballs!” Hanke said. “We’re still importing crude like it’s going out of style.”
The balance sheet? A disaster. $6 trillion in assets against $136 trillion in liabilities? “That’s not just insolvent,” Hanke said, “that’s catastrophically insolvent. It’s like The Producers but with real money.”
The bond market is reacting like a nervous Nellie, with 10-year Treasury yields climbing faster than a Brooks character up a ladder. Hanke’s gold price target? $6,000 to $7,000. “But don’t hold your breath,” he added, “it’s a marathon, not a sprint.”
His fixes? A congressional commission (good luck with that) and a constitutional amendment modeled on Switzerland’s debt brake. “Will Congress act?” Hanke asked. “Feh. That’s another issue.”
FAQ
- Is the U.S. government insolvent? More insolvent than a Brooks film budget. $6 trillion in assets, $136 trillion in liabilities. Do the math.
- Is Iran winning the war against the U.S. and Israel? Winning like a Brooks movie at the Oscars. They’ve got the Strait, the oil, and the upper hand.
- How does the Iran war affect U.S. oil prices? Like a bad case of gas. We’re importers, so global prices hit us harder than a pie in the face.
- What is Steve Hanke’s gold price target? $6,000 to $7,000. But don’t expect it to happen faster than a Brooks punchline.
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2026-03-29 18:58