Let me set the scene: November 14th. The air was crisp. The leaves were falling. And somewhere, a crypto analyst named Beimnet Abebe was calmly narrating Bitcoin’s slow descent into middle age-complete with early retirement accounts and sensible shoes.
He noted, with the grave solemnity of a man reading a will at a family reunion, that Bitcoin was clinging to its 50-week moving average like a drunk uncle to a karaoke mic. But alas, it was only a matter of time. The price would slip to the 100-week MA-the financial equivalent of joining a book club-and possibly even plunge toward the 200-week MA, which sounds less like a trading indicator and more like a medieval torture device. 🔗📉

Well, guess what? It happened. The 50 and 100-week predictions hit the bulls-eye. 🎯 Or maybe the dart just fell off the wall-hard to say. These days, the 100-week MA is playing the role of emotional support structure, propping up Bitcoin like a codependent roommate who enables your cereal-for-dinner habit.
As of this writing, BTC was floating around $85.5k-basically sipping chamomile tea in the $84k-$85k demand zone. Calm. Collected. Boring. Beimnet, in his infinite wisdom, declared he’d “be happy to buy” below $80k. Frankly, I’d be happy to buy a personality below $80k. Bitcoin’s starting to feel like that one friend who used to do keg stands but now just talks about municipal bond funds. 💸😴
Is crypto losing its edge-or did it ever have one?
Sure, Bitcoin still exists. But is it cool? Not unless you count “cool” as in “room temperature.” 😶🌫️
On X (formerly known as Twitter, a platform mostly used now by bots, billionaires, and people screaming into the void), a user named InvestingLuc shared a tale so tragic it should come with a tissue pack: “crypto isn’t cool anymore.”
“Does real-world crypto utility generate enough demand to offset a sustained decline in retail participation?”
Mmm. Let’s translate that from corporate buzzword to human: “Now that the frat boys have left the party, will anyone actually use this thing, or is it just a digital paperweight with a cult following?”
Social media buzz? Down. Institutional interest? Up-which, in crypto terms, is like trading a wild rave for a company picnic with assigned seating. 🧺👏 The decentralization dream? Feels like ancient history. The rebels are now wearing suits and collecting 401(k) matching. The permissionless ethos has been permissioned by Goldman Sachs. 😇💼
Bitcoin is growing up. And honestly? It’s not aging well. It’s like a punk rocker who started doing Pilates and reading The Wall Street Journal. Where’s the chaos? The danger? The charm?
Bitcoin goes to therapy-and stops yelling
On CNBC’s Squawk Box-a show I only watch because I enjoy seeing grown men argue about spreadsheets-Anthony Pompliano declared: “Bitcoin volatility has halved.”
Yes. You heard that right. The coin that once went from “I own a Lamborghini” to “I own a ham sandwich” in 48 hours is now… stable. 😳📉
ETF flows have been negative since the 10/10 crash-because apparently, even Wall Street gets cold feet. But here’s the twist: the drawdown was only 33.3%, from $126k to $84k. That’s cute. In previous bear markets, we’d have lost enough value to fund three startups and a small island nation. Now? It’s more of a “nap during yoga class” kind of dip. 🧘♂️💸
And while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are out here flexing at all-time highs like bodybuilders at a mirror convention, Bitcoin is just… there. 🫠
Less volatility means fewer heart attacks, sure. But it also means fewer “I’m rich!” moments. No bubbles, no frenzy, no FOMO. Just… steady disappointment. Like a lukewarm burrito. 🌯😑
Enter Axel Adler Jr. (Yes, Jr. – his dad probably analyzed tulip bulbs) and his True MVRV metric. In 2024, it peaked at a thrilling 2.17. For context, that’s like your high school GPA if you mostly did homework in study hall. It couldn’t even break 2 after hitting all-time highs. Yawn.
Why so low? Partly because ETF flows don’t live on-chain-they’re like ghosts haunting Wall Street instead of blockchain graveyards. But also? “Smart money” is in the house. These are the investors who don’t YOLO their rent money. They trade in silence. They take profits. They exit gracefully. They’re adults. 😬
And as Bitcoin matures, it’s becoming less of a revolution and more of a retirement plan. Exciting? Not really. Safe? Sure. But if you wanted safe, you could’ve bought index funds and a golden retriever. 🐶📊
Final Thoughts
- Analyst said BTC would dip toward $80k. It did. Now he says sub-$80k is a buy. 🔻 Sounds like the emotional arc of every bad relationship: “It’ll be better next time.”
- The market’s sputtering, demand is weak, and the 10/10 crash left fewer fireworks and more sighs. We’re not in a bear market-we’re in a prolonged financial menopause. 🍂📉
So here we are. Bitcoin isn’t dead. It’s just… tired. It used to stay up all night, screaming at charts, launching memes, and making millionaires out of people who didn’t know what HODL meant. Now it goes to bed at 9. It talks about ETFs. It’s probably vegan.
Is this the future? Calm, quiet, and utterly forgettable? 🥱💭
If so, pass me the interest-bearing account. And maybe a sleeping pill. 💤💊
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2025-12-25 04:25