Key Highlights
- Polymarket now says thereâs less than a 1% chance of Bitcoin beating Gold in 2025! Oops! đŹ
- Goldâs been on a wild ride, soaring about 65% in 2025, now worth $4,309 per ounce. Thatâs a lot of shiny metal! đ
- Bitcoin? Not so much. It dropped a solid 10% this year, falling from $126,000 to $90,000. Someoneâs not happy. đ˘
Once upon a time, Polymarket was all like, “Bitcoin is gonna crush Gold in 2025!”-and the odds were looking juicy at over 70% in July. Fast forward to now, and thatâs dropped faster than a bad pun-now sitting at a measly 1%. Why? Because Goldâs been on a serious tear since mid-2025, while Bitcoinâs been doing its best impression of a sad balloon losing air. đ
As of now, Polymarketâs giving Bitcoin a teeny tiny 1% chance of overtaking Goldâs impressive 65% gains this year, with this bet having a whopping $805K at stake. But hey, whoâs counting? đ¤ˇââď¸
Bitcoinâs currently sitting at $90K, after falling from a high of $126K in October. And Gold? Itâs just chilling at $4,309 per ounce. Goldâs been working hard for that 65% increase, hitting an all-time high (ATH) of $4,381 in October. Goldâs got swagger! đ
Gold Goes Supernova đ
So why is Gold doing so well? Low interest rates and a strong demand from central banks, thatâs why! China, India, and Turkey are snapping up gold like itâs the latest iPhone. China alone bought 27 tonnes this year! đ
Meanwhile, India grabbed 19 tonnes, and the U.S.? Oh, just casually hoarding over 8,133 tonnes of the shiny stuff-because why not? Central banks are all in on gold, which means the retail crowd and institutions are following suit, buying up gold coins and ETFs like theyâre on sale! đ¤
Bitcoin Falls From Its Throne đ
Bitcoin had a dreamy start to 2025, finishing 2024 at over $100K. Then, it hit a new record of $126K in October. But by November, it had a little tumble-down to $82K before bouncing back up. Why? Investors decided to cash in their profits, of course. And with leverage trading, it was a perfect storm for Bitcoinâs fall. Over $2.2 billion in leverage trades got liquidated-leaving 400K traders wondering where their money went. đ¸
Now, Bitcoin and Gold are doing the classic âdistant cousinsâ dance. Gold keeps climbing like a determined athlete, while Bitcoin struggles to keep up. This little dip in Bitcoinâs glory throws some shade on its âdigital goldâ reputation. No central bank is hoarding Bitcoin (yet), and regulators around the world are still playing hard to get with it. đ
Bitcoin has a lot of retail love-no doubt. But when things get rocky, people flock to safer bets, and guess whoâs still the king of safe havens? Thatâs right, Gold. đ
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2025-12-12 21:57