Key Takeaways:
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BTC demand took a nap while miners cranked up the output, leaving a seven-month first. 🐢
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Spot Bitcoin ETFs lost $1.67 billion since Oct. 11-like a leaky bucket in a hurricane. 🛶
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Bitcoin treasury firms trading below NAVs? More like trading below common sense. 🧠
Institutional demand for Bitcoin (BTC) has taken a backseat to the daily mining machine, causing analysts to clutch their pearls and mutter, “Not good.” 🤯
Bitcoin Supply-Demand Dynamics Shift
While Bitcoin mining churns like a well-oiled (or poorly oiled?) machine, institutional buyers have gone AWOL, according to Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments. 🕵️♂️
Edwards unveiled a chart that looked like a confused cat’s paw print, tracking three institutional activities: mining (red), ETFs (light green), and corporate BTC trading (orange). The blue line? A ghost that’s been fading since mid-August. 🖋️
The chart revealed a staggered decline, with demand finally dipping below mining output on Nov. 3. The last time this happened? March. A long time to wait for a yawn. 🕒
Initially, ETF inflows were the life of the party, but after the market crash on Oct. 11, they became the guest who left early. Since then, $1.67 billion has vanished like a magician’s rabbit. 🪄
On Oct. 31, ETFs hemorrhaged $191 million in a single day-none of the twelve ETFs saw a single dollar flow in. A dismal performance, even for a bear market. 🐻
This suggests institutional investors are now more cautious than a squirrel in a nut-free zone. 🐿️
Edwards, ever the optimist, said, “Won’t lie, this was the main metric keeping me bullish the last months while every other asset outperformed Bitcoin.” Then he added, “Not good.” 🙃
An Unsustainable Trend for BTC?
Bitcoin’s rally? Now it’s playing hide-and-seek with $107,000 after hitting $126,000. A rollercoaster with a broken seatbelt. 🎢
The market’s been wobbling since July, like a drunk tightrope walker. 🕷️
The DAT trend? A high-stakes poker game with no safety net. Edwards noted, “188 treasury companies carrying heavy BTC bags with no business model.” A recipe for disaster, or a casino. 🃏
The mNAV ratio? A litmus test for whether investors think a company is a diamond or a dud. Right now, it’s leaning toward the latter. 🧪
If this trend continues, expect a domino effect of selling pressure. A chain reaction of panic, if you will. 🧨
As CryptoMoon says, Bitcoin’s price recovery is stuck in neutral until ETFs and institutions restart their buying spree. A waiting game with a side of dread. 🕰️
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2025-11-03 15:06