Bitcoin’s Cycle: Still Alive? 🪙✨

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While Bitcoin’s four-year cycle may not play out exactly as it has in the past, that doesn’t mean the concept is entirely dead, according to a crypto executive. Which is a bit of a surprise, really, considering how predictable the universe is. 🌌

“I think when it comes to the four-year cycle, the reality is that it’s very likely that we’ll continue to see some form of a cycle,” crypto exchange Gemini’s head of APAC region, Saad Ahmed, told CryptoMoon during a sit-down interview at Token2049 in Singapore. Because nothing says “reliable” like a market that’s as stable as a teacup on a rollercoaster. 🪵

“It ultimately stems from people get really excited and overextend themselves, and then you kind of see a crash, and then it kind of corrects to an equilibrium,” Ahmed said. A process as ancient as the hills, and just as reliable. 🏔️

However, Ahmed said growing institutional involvement in the crypto industry could help the market absorb some of the volatility. Or maybe it’s just another way for the system to pretend it’s in control. 🧠

The debate over whether the four-year cycle is relevant to Bitcoin has been ongoing within the crypto industry recently. Because nothing says “deep philosophical discourse” like arguing about a digital currency that’s more volatile than a caffeine-fueled squirrel. 🐿️

On Aug. 21, crypto analytics company Glassnode said Bitcoin’s recent price action may still be tracking its historic four-year halving cycle. Which is like saying the moon is still a rock. 🌕

October may mark Bitcoin’s cycle peak if patterns repeat

However, the deadline for Bitcoin’s cycle peak may fall this month if past patterns hold, according to crypto analyst Rekt Capital. Because nothing says “confidence” like predicting the future based on a 2020 calendar. 🗓️

In July, he said that if the cycle mirrors 2020, the market would likely peak in October, approximately 550 days after the April 2024 halving. A timeline so precise, it’s like the universe is following a script. 🎭

“We have a very small sliver of time and price expansion left,” Rekt said. A sliver so thin, it’s probably just a metaphor for “we have no idea what we’re doing.” 🤷‍♂️

It comes as Bitcoin (BTC) surged 11.5% over the past week, climbing to $123,850, just short of its $124,100 all-time high set on Aug. 14, according to CoinMarketCap. Because nothing says “magnificent” like being 250 dollars away from your peak. 💸

Bitwise’s Matt Hougan recently said he doesn’t expect Bitcoin’s price to follow the cycle as it has in the past. “I bet 2026 is an up year,” Hougan said on July 26. “I broadly think we’re in for a good few years,” Hougan added. A prediction as reliable as a fortune cookie. 🥮

Oct. 1 marked the beginning of Q4, historically Bitcoin’s strongest quarter since 2013, with an average return of 79.39%, according to CoinGlass. Which is like saying the universe is feeling generous today. 🌟

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2025-10-04 08:54