In a development that will shock anyone who has ever confused a stock chart with a Rorschach test, crypto analyst Tice has unearthed a signal so potent it has allegedly predicted every Bitcoin bottom since the dawn of recorded history (or at least since 2014). One might wonder if this signal is as reliable as a fortune cookie or as fallible as a weather forecast from a magic 8-ball.
The Signal That Has Predicted Every Bitcoin Bottom (According to a Man with a Very Strong Opinion)
In an X post-a platform renowned for its deep financial wisdom and occasional memes-Tice proclaimed that the signal, which has called every Bitcoin bottom in history, has triggered once more. He noted that in the bear cycles of 2014, 2018, and 2022, BTC spent about 14 months wallowing in despair before perking up, with a price explosion following. Now, he insists, the same pattern is playing out, which is either a stroke of genius or the financial equivalent of believing that a stopped clock is right twice a day.
Tice stated that risk has been repriced, leverage has been cleared, and sentiment has been washed out. In other words, all the usual ingredients for a market miracle are present, like a cake that’s been burnt, rebranded as “artisanal,” and sold at a premium. He added that time alignment is a condition, not a confirmation-a handy get-out clause for when the signal inevitably misfires. Right now, he says, time, structure, and positioning are aligning, suggesting that now is a golden opportunity to invest, with asymmetric opportunities that “don’t wait.” Which is convenient, because in crypto, FOMO is always just a tweet away.

In another X post, Tice doubled down, alluding to the median Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV), which sounds like a spell from a wizard’s grimoire. He noted it has hit the same signal as every major bottom in BTC history, implying that a multi-year bull market always follows. Because, as any student of history knows, markets never change, and past performance is always a perfect predictor of future results-especially in the wild, unpredictable frontier of digital currencies.
Therefore, he mused that if history rhymes even loosely, two to three years of bull market may be on the horizon. He added that the bear market that felt different on the way down is about to feel very familiar on the way up. Which is reassuring, in a “déjà vu all over again” sort of way, like watching the same bad movie sequel after sequel.
BTC Approaches a Make-or-Break Level: Or Not
Crypto analyst Colin, not to be outdone, stated that Bitcoin is nearing an interesting spot where two trend lines and one horizontal resistance level intersect. Based on this profound geometry, he gave a 50% chance of BTC forming a local top around this intersection. That’s right, a coin flip-the bedrock of sophisticated market analysis. However, if it breaks above the channel, he predicts it could soar to a local top around the $84,000 to $86,000 zone. Because, as every investor knows, round numbers are the secret sauce of financial prophecy.
Colin noted that this zone holds the most immediate horizontal resistance from a previous consolidation range. Meanwhile, he doesn’t believe Bitcoin is back in a bull run, despite the flagship crypto forming new highs since its February 6 low of around $60,000. BTC has also rallied amid the U.S.-Iran war, which is either a testament to its resilience or a sign that geopolitical tensions are now just background noise in the crypto casino.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $79,900, up over 2% in the last 24 hours. In the grand scheme of crypto volatility, that’s barely a blip-a quiet Tuesday in a world where daily swings of 10% are considered “boring.”

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2026-05-04 15:06